Study of GHG emissions in Brazil from 1990 to 2030 using system dynamics for simulation

Raphael Gallegos
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Abstract

This work studied five sectors which are responsible for GHG emissions in Brazil, namely: Agriculture, Energy, Land-use Change, Industrial Processes, and Waste. In addition to emissions, the Brazilian National Energy Balance was studied to understand the relationship between the energy matrix and GHG emissions. This entire study was developed using the System Dynamics methodology and, at the end, two scenarios were proposed. In the first scenario, it is possible to observe how GHG emissions are distributed in Brazil, while in the second scenario, it is possible to observe a reduction of about 48.9% of emissions in the country, related to the reduction of Land-use Change and Forestry together with the Energy Sector.
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1990 - 2030年巴西温室气体排放的系统动力学模拟研究
这项工作研究了巴西温室气体排放的五个部门,即:农业、能源、土地利用变化、工业过程和废物。除排放量外,还对巴西国家能源平衡进行了研究,以了解能源矩阵与温室气体排放量之间的关系。整个研究是使用系统动力学方法进行的,最后提出了两种方案。在第一种情况下,可以观察到巴西的温室气体排放量是如何分布的,而在第二种情况下可以观察到该国的排放量减少了约48.9%,这与土地利用变化和林业以及能源部门的减少有关。
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来源期刊
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0.00%
发文量
24
审稿时长
7 weeks
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