The FSU Economies: First Year of Transition

Abstract

A senior CIA analyst, just recently retired, reviews the economic performances of the Soviet successor states in turbulent 1992 and first quarter 1993. A general assessment of national income and GDP precedes a more detailed survey of sectoral performance (output by sector of origin and GNP by end use) and inflation in the republics. Final sections examine the extent to which economic problems in the various republics are a reflection of disrupted production linkages visa-vis reduced demand for output. Performance in republics opting for more dramatic reforms are contrasted with those in which major change thus far has been postponed. 9 tables, 4 figures, 23 references.