The Relationship between the Generation of Electricity from Renewable Resources and Unemployment: An Empirical Study on the Egyptian Economy

Aliaa Nabil Khodeir
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引用次数: 11

Abstract

Currently, there is a global trend towards the use of renewable energy resources. This is due to their benefits in terms of economic diversification, job creation, and sustainable development. Given the suffering of the Egyptian economy from the chronic unemployment problem, this paper has adopted the effect of electricity generation from renewable resources on unemployment. It tests the hypothesis which implies an inverse relationship between renewable electricity generation and unemployment rate in Egypt. By using Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) approach to identify the effects in the short and long run during the period (1989-2013), it has been found that the hypothesis was achieved in the long run only. This is due to the fact that renewable energy projects in their establishment stages focus on capital intensity more than labour intensity, but with time both direct and indirect employment effects start to emerge. The econometric results agree in the presence of a significant negative impact of both economic growth and investments on the unemployment rate.

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可再生能源发电与失业的关系:基于埃及经济的实证研究
目前,全球有使用可再生能源的趋势。这是由于它们在经济多样化、创造就业和可持续发展方面的好处。鉴于长期失业问题对埃及经济的影响,本文采用了可再生资源发电对失业的影响。它测试了一个假设,该假设暗示了埃及可再生能源发电与失业率之间的反比关系。通过使用自回归分布滞后(ARDL)方法识别1989-2013年期间的短期和长期影响,发现该假设仅在长期内实现。这是由于可再生能源项目在其建立阶段更注重资本强度而不是劳动强度,但随着时间的推移,直接和间接的就业效应开始显现。在经济增长和投资对失业率都有显著的负面影响的情况下,计量经济学结果一致。
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