MULTI-OBJECTIVE TRANSPORTATION PROBLEM UNDER TYPE-2 TRAPEZOIDAL FUZZY NUMBERS WITH PARAMETERS ESTIMATION AND GOODNESS OF FIT

IF 1.3 4区 工程技术 Q3 TRANSPORTATION SCIENCE & TECHNOLOGY Transport Pub Date : 2021-11-24 DOI:10.3846/transport.2021.15649
Murshid Kamal, Ali Alarjani, Ahteshamul Haq, F. N. K. Yusufi, I. Ali
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引用次数: 2

Abstract

The problem of transportation in real-life is an uncertain multi-objective decision-making problem. In particular, by taking into account the conflicting objectives, Decision-Makers (DMs) are looking for the best transport set up to determine the optimum shipping quantity subject to certain capacity constraints on each route. This paper presented a Multi-Objective Transportation Problem (MOTP) where the objective functions are considered as Type-2 trapezoidal fuzzy numbers (T2TpFN), respectively. Demand and supply in constraints are in multi-choice and probabilistic random variables, respectively. Also considered the “rate of increment in Transportation Cost (TC) and rate of decrement in profit on transporting the products from ith sources to jth destinations due to” (or additional cost) of each product due to the damage, late deliveries, weather conditions, and any other issues. Due to the presence of all these uncertainties, it is not possible to obtain the optimum solution directly, so first, we need to convert all these uncertainties from the model into a crisp equivalent form. The two-phase defuzzification technique is used to transform T2TpFN into a crisp equivalent form. Multi-choice and probabilistic random variables are transformed into an equivalent value using Stochastic Programming (SP) approach and the binary variable, respectively. It is assumed that the supply and demand parameter follows various types of probabilistic distributions like Weibull, Extreme value, Cauchy and Pareto, Normal distribution, respectively. The unknown parameters of probabilistic distributions estimated using the maximum likelihood estimation method at the defined probability level. The best fit of the probability distributions is determined using the Akaike Information Criterion (AIC) and the Bayesian Information Criterion (BIC), respectively. Using the Fuzzy Goal Programming (FGP) method, the final problem is solved for the optimal decision. A case study is intended to provide the effectiveness of the proposed work.
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具有参数估计和拟合优度的2型梯形模糊数下的多目标运输问题
现实生活中的交通问题是一个不确定的多目标决策问题。特别是,考虑到相互冲突的目标,决策者(DMs)正在寻找最佳运输设置,以确定在每条路线的一定容量限制下的最佳运输数量。提出了一个多目标运输问题(MOTP),其中目标函数分别为2型梯形模糊数(T2TpFN)。约束条件下的需求和供给分别为多选择随机变量和概率随机变量。还考虑了“运输成本(TC)的增长率和从第6个来源到第6个目的地运输产品的利润减减率,因为”(或额外的成本)每个产品由于损坏,延迟交货,天气条件和任何其他问题。由于所有这些不确定性的存在,直接得到最优解是不可能的,所以首先,我们需要将所有这些不确定性从模型中转换成一个清晰的等效形式。采用两相去模糊化技术将T2TpFN转化为清晰的等效形式。采用随机规划方法将多选择随机变量和概率随机变量分别转化为等价变量和二元变量。假设供给和需求参数分别服从威布尔分布、极值分布、柯西分布和帕累托分布、正态分布等各种概率分布。用最大似然估计法在定义的概率水平上估计概率分布的未知参数。分别用赤池信息准则(AIC)和贝叶斯信息准则(BIC)确定了概率分布的最佳拟合。采用模糊目标规划(FGP)方法求解最终问题,求得最优决策。个案研究的目的是提供建议的工作的有效性。
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来源期刊
Transport
Transport Engineering-Mechanical Engineering
CiteScore
3.40
自引率
5.90%
发文量
19
审稿时长
4 months
期刊介绍: At present, transport is one of the key branches playing a crucial role in the development of economy. Reliable and properly organized transport services are required for a professional performance of industry, construction and agriculture. The public mood and efficiency of work also largely depend on the valuable functions of a carefully chosen transport system. A steady increase in transportation is accompanied by growing demands for a higher quality of transport services and optimum efficiency of transport performance. Currently, joint efforts taken by the transport experts and governing institutions of the country are required to develop and enhance the performance of the national transport system conducting theoretical and empirical research. TRANSPORT is an international peer-reviewed journal covering main aspects of transport and providing a source of information for the engineer and the applied scientist. The journal TRANSPORT publishes articles in the fields of: transport policy; fundamentals of the transport system; technology for carrying passengers and freight using road, railway, inland waterways, sea and air transport; technology for multimodal transportation and logistics; loading technology; roads, railways; airports, ports, transport terminals; traffic safety and environment protection; design, manufacture and exploitation of motor vehicles; pipeline transport; transport energetics; fuels, lubricants and maintenance materials; teamwork of customs and transport; transport information technologies; transport economics and management; transport standards; transport educology and history, etc.
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