Determinants of Industrial Sector Growth in Pakistan

Mujib-ur Rahman, A. Hafeez, Wisal Ahmad
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Abstract

A strong industrial sector shows greater economic growth. To find industrial growth, this study hereby made an attempt. Time series data is used. Data is obtained from the years 1984 to 2018. The stationarity of the series is checked through Augmented Dickey-Fuller (ADF). Moreover, the ARDL approach is used to check short and long-run estimation of the model, estimating the determinants of the industrial sector growth in Pakistan. A long-run positive and significant associations between External debt (% of GDP), GDP (Annual Growth), FDI, Remittances (% of GDP) is identified, while trade has a negative effect on industrial growth. The factor remittances have an insignificant but positive influence on the industrial sector growth.
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巴基斯坦工业部门增长的决定因素
强劲的工业部门显示出更大的经济增长。为了寻找产业增长,本研究在此进行尝试。使用时间序列数据。数据为1984年至2018年。通过ADF (Augmented Dickey-Fuller)检验了序列的平稳性。此外,ARDL方法用于检查模型的短期和长期估计,估计巴基斯坦工业部门增长的决定因素。外债(占GDP的百分比)、GDP(年增长率)、外国直接投资(FDI)、汇款(占GDP的百分比)之间存在长期积极和显著的关联,而贸易对工业增长具有负面影响。汇款因素对工业部门的增长具有不显著但积极的影响。
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