Clasters and Correlations among the Eu Member States Regarding Agri-Food Foreign Trade

N. Gombkötő
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引用次数: 1

Abstract

The European Union has a significant role in international trade but this is largely in the area of industrial goods. However, in the case of some agricultural commodities the EU applies tariffs, bans, or different restrictive measures; it manages foreign trade in agricultural goods with many countries all over the world. On the other hand the member states do not contribute to the total trade of the EU to the same extent. In this study, a comparative analysis was performed in relation to the member states by means of data of Eurostat and Faostat. First, a multivariable correlation analysis was carried out in order to find the interrelation between the trade features of each country. In the second part of the study, a cluster analysis was carried out with almost the same component as in the foregoing, also in terms of the EU member states. It can be ascertained that the date of EU accession of a Member State as well as getting EU agricultural subsidies do not affect the agricultural foreign trade of the member states. Countries with significant agricultural production also export food commodities in larger quantities. Countries that have significant exports extra-EU also have larger imports in the case of both basic commodities and prepared food as well. As a result of the cluster analysis, it can be stated that the member states can be divided into specific groups according to the three examined aspects (food trade features, exports of commodities, imports of commodities). The following typical country groups can be divided as follows: non-trade countries, countries with larger trade extra-EU, agri-food exporter and importer countries, non-agri-food exporter and importer countries, primary commodity exporters and importers, and last but not least processed food exporters and importers as well. JEL Classification: F10
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欧盟成员国农业食品对外贸易的分类与关联
欧洲联盟在国际贸易中发挥着重要作用,但这主要是在工业产品领域。然而,就某些农产品而言,欧盟采用关税、禁令或不同的限制措施;它管理着与世界上许多国家的农产品对外贸易。另一方面,成员国对欧盟贸易总额的贡献程度不同。在本研究中,通过欧盟统计局和粮农组织统计局的数据,对成员国进行了比较分析。首先进行多变量相关分析,找出各国贸易特征之间的相互关系。在研究的第二部分中,对欧盟成员国进行了聚类分析,其组成部分几乎与上述相同。可以确定的是,成员国加入欧盟的日期以及获得欧盟农业补贴并不影响成员国的农业对外贸易。具有重要农业生产的国家也大量出口粮食商品。在欧盟以外有大量出口的国家,在基本商品和预制食品方面也有较大的进口。聚类分析的结果表明,根据所考察的三个方面(食品贸易特征、商品出口、商品进口),可以将成员国划分为特定的群体。以下典型的国家集团可分为以下几种:非贸易国家、欧盟以外贸易规模较大的国家、农业食品出口国和进口国、非农业食品出口国和进口国、初级商品出口国和进口国,最后但并非最不重要的是加工食品出口国和进口国。JEL分类:F10
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审稿时长
12 weeks
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