Russia’s Real Sector of Economy: Factors and Trends In January-September 2013

O. Izryadnova
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Abstract

In January–October 2013, business activities were determined by a decrease in the consumer and investment demand. A drop of 1.2% in investments in capital assets and stagnation in manufacturing industries as compared to January–October 2012 had a negative effect on the domestic market. A factor which supported the GDP dynamics at the level of 101.4% against January–February 2012 was growth of 5.3% in the agricultural output as compared to the respective period of the previous year. From June 2013, growth in the total number of the unemployed year-on-year was registered; it is to be noted that in October growth in the unemployment sped up and its level (in accordance with the ILO methods) amounted to 5.5% of the gainfully occupied population with 5.2% on average in the 3rd quarter of 2013. A drop in the demand in the workforce resulted in a reduction of the number of vacant jobs declared by the employment service from 2.1m vacant jobs in May to 1.6m in October 2013.
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俄罗斯实体经济:2013年1 - 9月的因素和趋势
2013年1 - 10月,商业活动是由消费和投资需求下降决定的。与2012年1月至10月相比,资本资产投资下降1.2%,制造业停滞不前,这对国内市场产生了负面影响。支撑2012年1 - 2月GDP增长101.4%的因素之一是农业产出同比增长5.3%。2013年6月起,全国失业总人数同比增长;值得注意的是,10月份失业率增长加快,其水平(根据国际劳工组织的方法)达到了有收入人口的5.5%,而2013年第三季度的平均失业率为5.2%。劳动力需求的下降导致就业服务部门公布的空缺职位数量从2013年5月的210万个减少到10月的160万个。
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