Predicting the chemotherapeutic response of colorectal cancer liver metastasis using shear-wave elastography.

Purpose: The aim of this study was to assess the role of the shear-wave velocity (SWV) value in predicting chemotherapeutic response and progression-free survival (PFS) in patients with colorectal cancer liver metastasis (CRLM).

Methods: In this prospective single-center study, participants with CRLM scheduled for chemotherapy were enrolled between May 2018 and June 2021. SWV measurements were obtained using shear-wave elastography at the CRLM site before and after initiating chemotherapy. Based on the Response Evaluation Criteria in Solid Tumors, the participants were categorized by chemotherapeutic response into responders (complete remission and partial remission) and non-responders (stable disease and progressive disease). Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis was conducted to evaluate the performance of changes in SWV measurements in predicting the chemotherapeutic response of CRLM. In addition, a Cox proportional hazards model was used to identify variables associated with PFS.

Results: In total, 67 participants (40 men; mean age, 62.3±10.1 years) were enrolled, including 34 responders and 33 non-responders. The area under the ROC curve, sensitivity, and negative predictive value of the SWV measurement in predicting non-responders were 0.840, 97.0%, and 95.2%, respectively, using a cutoff value of a 13% decrease. Additionally, a change in SWV values was independently associated with PFS (hazard ratio, 1.020), non-responder status, and the presence of five or more CRLMs.

Conclusion: A change in SWV values measured after chemotherapy demonstrated meaningful diagnostic performance in predicting non-responsiveness among patients with CRLM. Additionally, a change in SWV values was independently associated with PFS.