机器学习和对气候模型参数化客观性的追求。

IF 4.8 2区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Climatic Change Pub Date : 2023-01-01 Epub Date: 2023-07-18 DOI:10.1007/s10584-023-03532-1
Julie Jebeile, Vincent Lam, Mason Majszak, Tim Räz
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引用次数: 0

摘要

参数化和参数调整是气候建模的核心方面,人们普遍认为这些程序涉及某些主观因素。即使这些主观元素的使用在认识上不一定有问题,但用更客观(自动化)的方法(如机器学习)取代它们也有直观的吸引力。根据几项案例研究,我们认为,虽然机器学习技术可能在几个方面有助于改善气候模型参数化,但它们仍然需要专家的判断,其中涉及与标准参数化和调整中产生的主观因素没有太大区别的主观因素。在参数化中使用机器学习是一门艺术也是一门科学,需要仔细监督。
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Machine learning and the quest for objectivity in climate model parameterization.

Parameterization and parameter tuning are central aspects of climate modeling, and there is widespread consensus that these procedures involve certain subjective elements. Even if the use of these subjective elements is not necessarily epistemically problematic, there is an intuitive appeal for replacing them with more objective (automated) methods, such as machine learning. Relying on several case studies, we argue that, while machine learning techniques may help to improve climate model parameterization in several ways, they still require expert judgment that involves subjective elements not so different from the ones arising in standard parameterization and tuning. The use of machine learning in parameterizations is an art as well as a science and requires careful supervision.

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来源期刊
Climatic Change
Climatic Change 环境科学-环境科学
CiteScore
10.20
自引率
4.20%
发文量
180
审稿时长
7.5 months
期刊介绍: Climatic Change is dedicated to the totality of the problem of climatic variability and change - its descriptions, causes, implications and interactions among these. The purpose of the journal is to provide a means of exchange among those working in different disciplines on problems related to climatic variations. This means that authors have an opportunity to communicate the essence of their studies to people in other climate-related disciplines and to interested non-disciplinarians, as well as to report on research in which the originality is in the combinations of (not necessarily original) work from several disciplines. The journal also includes vigorous editorial and book review sections.
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