巴西圣Espírito州牛囊虫病发生地区的最新空间分析。

Júlia Bertoli Gomes, Barbara Rauta de Avelar, Isabella Vilhena Freire Martins
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摘要

牛囊虫病的风险随时间而变化,因为人口习惯、当地基础设施和牛群规模随时间而变化。因此,本研究的目的是通过选择以下风险因素来更新巴西圣州Espírito牛囊虫病发生的风险图:下水道服务不足;每个城市的牛数量;水浸风险;土地使用和占用,使用GIS程序ArcGis 10.5建立数学模型进行检验。发生风险图显示,该州分别由12.8%、24.5%、36.2和26.5%的极高、高、中、低风险区域组成。北部地区被认为是非常高风险的地区,其中林黑尔斯和奥马特乌斯市占该分类地区的99%。在该州的78个市镇中,15个市镇的部分领土具有极高的风险,11个市镇的50%以上的领土具有高风险,除了Irupi(100%的低风险)之外,所有市镇都具有一定比例的中等风险。这些发现表明应优先采取行动预防牛囊虫病的领域。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。

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Updated spatial analysis of areas of occurrence of bovine cysticercosis in the state of Espírito Santo, Brazil.

The risk of bovine cysticercosis is mutable over time, since population habits, local infrastructure, and bovine herd size change through the years. Hence, the aim of this study was to update the risk map of bovine cysticercosis occurrence in Espírito Santo State, Brazil, by choosing the following risk factors: inadequate sewer service; bovine population per municipality; risk of flooding; and land use and occupation, examined with a mathematical model using the GIS program ArcGis 10.5. The risk map of occurrence demonstrated that the state is composed of 12.8, 24.5, 36.2 and 26.5% of areas of very high, high, medium, and low risk, respectively. The northern area stood out for areas of very high risk, with the cities of Linhares and São Mateus accounting for 99% of the area with this classification. Of the state's 78 municipalities, 15 had a portion of their territory with very high risk, 11 had over 50% of the territory with high risk and all except Irupi (100% of low risk) had some percentage of medium risk. These findings demonstrate the areas where actions to prevent bovine cysticercosis should be preferentially conducted.

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