对“维谢格拉德四国+”模式和V4 +日本合作局限性的不同看法

IF 1.6 3区 社会学 Q2 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Asia Europe Journal Pub Date : 2023-02-17 DOI:10.1007/s10308-023-00669-7
Michal Kolmaš
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引用次数: 0

摘要

维谢格拉德集团的形式——捷克、斯洛伐克、波兰和匈牙利的协调政策论坛——被称为一个重要的政策工具,倡导四个合作伙伴的利益并建立协同作用。“维谢格拉德四人组”+ ” 协调这四个国家外交关系的格式被描述为V4和V4的主要外交政策场所 + 日本经常被理解为这种形式中的关键伙伴关系。由于中国最近在中欧和东欧的影响力不断增强,以及2022年乌克兰战争的影响,许多人开始期待这种协调会加强和分化。然而,本文认为V4 + 日本平台只是一个边缘的政策论坛,在可预见的未来不太可能获得任何重大的政治势头。基于对V4和日本政策制定者的一系列采访,本文提出了阻碍V4深化的三个原因 + 日本的协调:(i)该群体的社会化有很大的局限性,(ii)V4成员对威胁的看法不同,(iii)对深化与第三方的经济协调兴趣不大。这些发现质疑维谢格拉德集团成员国之间外交政策协调的可行性,并突出了V4扩张的障碍 + 日本合作。
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Diverging perceptions of the “Visegrad Four + ” format and the limits of the V4 + Japan cooperation

The Visegrad Group format — coordinated policy forum for Czechia, Slovakia, Poland and Hungary — has been dubbed as a significant policy tool that advocates the interests and builds synergies among the four partners. The “Visegrad Four + ” format, which coordinates foreign relations of these four countries, has been narrated as the key foreign policy venue of the V4, and the V4 + Japan is often understood as the key partnership within this format. Due to the recently growing Chinese influence in Central and Eastern Europe, and the impacts of the war in Ukraine in 2022, many have come to expect the coordination to strengthen and ramify. This article argues, however, that the V4 + Japan platform represents only a marginal policy forum and is unlikely to gain any significant political momentum in the foreseeable future. Basing the analysis on a set of interviews with the V4 and Japanese policymakers, the paper posits three reasons that have prevented the deepening of the V4 + Japan coordination: (i) there are significant limits to socialization in the group, (ii) there are diverse threat perceptions among V4 members, and (iii) there is little interest in deepening economic coordination vis-a-vis third parties. These findings question the viability of foreign policy coordination among the Visegrad Group members, and highlight the impediments for the expansion of V4 + Japan cooperation.

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来源期刊
Asia Europe Journal
Asia Europe Journal INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS-
CiteScore
2.90
自引率
6.20%
发文量
8
期刊介绍: The Asia-Europe Journal is a quarterly journal dedicated to publishing quality academic papers and policy discussions on common challenges facing Asia and Europe that help to shape narratives on the common futures - including both risks and opportunities - of Asia and Europe. The Journal welcomes academically and intellectually rigorous research papers as well as topical policy briefs and thought pieces on issues of bi-regional interest, including management and political economy, innovation, security studies, regional and global governance, as well as on relevant socio-cultural developments and historical events. Officially cited as: Asia Eur J
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