阿尔巴尼亚的经济和货币政策

Péter Novoszáth
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摘要

本文从阿尔巴尼亚经济政策和货币市场的角度分析了阿尔巴尼亚的货币政策,确定了货币政策的影响及其对一些关键宏观经济指标的影响。分析的结论是,阿尔巴尼亚中央银行的政策适用于一个不平等的货币市场,因为货币市场在外币和当地货币阿尔巴尼亚列克(ALL)之间几乎平分。为了保障债务的可持续性,财政整顿仍是必要的。重建财政空间尤为重要,因为阿尔巴尼亚经济缺乏其他稳定工具,尤其是独立的货币政策。应作出更多努力,使预算转向更加注重增长的组成。在去年欧盟与西巴尔干和土耳其的对话中,特别关注了财政规则和框架对改善财政治理的重要性。
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Economic and Monetary Policy in Albania
This paper analyses Albania’s monetary policy in terms of the Albanian economic policy and monetary market, determining the effects of monetary policy and its consequences for some of the key macroeconomic indicators. The analysis concludes that the policy of the Albanian Central Bank, is applied in an unequal monetary market, since the money market is divided almost equally between foreign currency and the local currency, the Albanian lek (ALL). Fiscal consolidation is still necessary to safeguard debt sustainability. Rebuilding the fiscal space is particularly important because the Albanian economy lacks other stabilisation tools, and an independent monetary policy in particular. More effort should be made to shift budgets towards a more growth-oriented composition. In last year’s dialogue between the EU and the Western Balkans and Turkey, special attention was paid to the importance of fiscal rules and frameworks in improving fiscal governance.
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