利用电力市场分析降低成本和环境影响

Conor Kelly, A. Ruzzelli, E. Mangina
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引用次数: 4

摘要

近年来,能源消耗已成为成本、基础设施要求和排放方面的主要问题。在放松管制的市场中,电价、可再生能源的贡献和排放量每小时都有很大差异。这些时间变化为任何灵活的能源消费者带来了重大机遇。对2012年前4个月爱尔兰电力市场的细粒度分析显示,解除管制的电力市场具有巨大的变化特征——现货价格飙升至平均价格的985%,边际排放变化高达55%,可再生能源发电的标准差为11.78%。可再生能源发电与市场价格之间存在很强的相关性——市场价格随着风力发电的增加而显著下降。利用智能和对这些市场和电网波动的认识,可以在更有利的条件下提供产品/服务——降低成本、减少排放和增加可再生能源含量都是可能的。本文描述的研究目的是开发算法,利用电力市场中观察到的可变性来降低服务的成本和排放,并为服务运营商提供一种使自己免受动荡市场条件影响的方法。
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Using Electricity Market Analytics to Reduce Cost and Environmental Impact
In recent years, energy consumption has become a major issue in terms of cost, infrastructure requirements and emissions. In deregulated markets electricity prices, renewable energy contribution and emissions can vary substantially from hour to hour. These temporal variations introduce significant opportunities for any flexible energy consumer. A granular analysis of the Irish electricity market for the first four months of 2012 showed the large variations characteristic of deregulated electricity markets - the spot price spiked up to 985% of the average price, marginal emissions varied by up to 55% and renewable energy generation had a standard deviation of 11.78%. Strong correlations are observed between renewable generation and market prices - market prices reduced significantly with increased wind generation. Utilising intelligence and awareness of these market and grid fluctuations allows the delivery of products/services at much more favorable conditions - reducing costs, reducing emissions and increasing renewable energy content are all possible. The aim of the research described in this paper is the development of algorithms which take advantage of variability observed in electricity markets to reduce the costs and emissions of services, and provide a way for service operators to insulate themselves against turbulent market conditions.
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