确定COVID-19健康危机期间游客风险认知和旅游意愿的差异——以塞尔维亚为例

Sandra Dramićanin, Goran Perić
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摘要

研究目的是确定在COVID-19健康危机期间,根据旅行意图和旅行目的地,塞尔维亚游客感知风险的差异。为了完成风险(旅行风险、目的地风险、健康风险、财务风险)之间的差异分析,使用验证性因子分析(CFA)计算风险评分。采用单因素方差分析方法,采用两种模型,检验新冠肺炎大流行期间旅游意向和目的地与风险感知的关系差异。第一个模型的结果表明:出行意愿对风险因素的线性组合有显著影响。此外,考虑到所有四种风险因素,在大流行期间打算旅行的人和不打算旅行的人之间存在显著差异。在第二个模型中,研究结果表明,旅行目的地对风险因素的线性组合有显著影响,并且根据对健康风险、目的地风险和旅行风险的感知,打算在国内COVID-19大流行期间旅行的受访者与打算出国旅行的受访者之间存在显著差异。
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DETERMINING THE DIFFERENCES IN TOURIST’S RISK PERCEPTION AND TRAVEL INTENTION DURING COVID-19 HEALTH CRISIS: CASE STUDY OF SERBIA
The research purpose is determination of the differences in Serbian tourist’s perceived risk, during the COVID-19 health crisis, according to travel intention and destination of travel. In order to accomplish an analysis of differences between risks (travel risk, destination risk, health risk, financial risk), risk scores were calculated using confirmatory factor analysis (CFA). Testing the differences in relation to the travel intention and destination of travel during the COVID-19 pandemic according to risk perception was conducted through one-way MANOVA, where two models were applied. The outcome of the first model shows: significant impact of travel intention on a linear combination of risk factors. Also, taking into account all four risk factors, there are significant differences between those who intend to travel during a pandemic and those without that intention. In the second model, the findings indicate significant impact of the travel destination on a linear combination of risk factors, and significant differences between those respondents who intend to travel during the COVID-19 pandemic in the country and those respondents who intend to travel abroad according towards the perception of health risk, destination risk, and travel risk.
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