人口增长、能源消耗和GDP对刚果布拉柴维尔二氧化碳排放的影响

Mboussa Moui Ridel
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摘要

自工业革命以来,许多研究都着眼于进步的环境标志与环境之间的联系。利用1990年至2020年的年度时间序列数据,本研究调查了刚果布拉柴维尔人口增长、能源使用、经济扩张和二氧化碳排放之间的关系。这项研究的意义在于,它使我们能够评估IPAT的前提,即二氧化碳排放主要受人口扩张、经济增长和技术进步的影响。本研究采用ARDL结合试验方法。结果表明,人口增长、能源消耗、经济增长和二氧化碳排放之间存在短期和长期关系,所有变量在短期内都对二氧化碳排放产生积极影响。然而,从长远来看,除了人口增长和经济增长对二氧化碳排放的负面影响外,能源消耗对二氧化碳排放有积极的影响,因为没有采用低碳技术进步。最终,研究结果支持了IPAT在刚果-布拉柴维尔经济中的假设,根据该假设,人口增长不会影响二氧化碳排放,因为该国当局严格执行计划生育政策以减少二氧化碳排放。当能源消耗影响环境质素时,政府应发展新的可再生能源,以减少二氧化碳的排放。
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Impact of Population growth, Energy consumption and GDP on CO2 emissions in Congo brazzaville
Since the industrial revolution, many studies have looked at the connection between environmental markers of progress and that environment. Using annual time-series data from 1990 to 2020, this study investigates the connections between population increase, energy use, economic expansion, and carbon dioxide emissions in Brazzaville, Congo. This study is significant because it enables us to evaluate the IPAT premise that CO2 emissions are mostly influenced by population expansion, economic growth, and technological advancement. The study uses the ARDL bound test method. The results demonstrate both short- and long-term relationships among the variables (population growth, energy consumption, economic growth, and CO2 emissions), with all variables having a positive impact on CO2 emissions in the short term. However, in the long run, energy consumption has a positive impact on CO2 emissions, in addition to the negative effects of population growth and economic growth on CO2 emissions, because without the adoption of low-carbon technological advancements. Ultimately, the results support the IPAT hypothesis in the Congo-Brazzaville economy, according to which population growth does not affect CO2 emissions because the country’s authorities strictly enforce family planning policies to reduce CO2 emissions. When energy consumption affects environmental quality, the Government should develop new renewable energy sources to reduce carbon dioxide emissions.
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