云南省碳排放对气象因子的影响分析

Guilan Luo, Xin Ma, Xuan Liu, Anshun Hu, Caikui Wang, Lianbiao Fang
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摘要

近年来,全球气候变暖和极端气候频繁发生,严重影响了人类的生活、生产和可持续发展。为研究碳排放与气候变化的相关性,采用复杂网络和大数据统计分析方法,通过Pearson相关系数确定边的连通性,构建了云南碳排放多因子气候网络和多因子气候网络,并采用滑动序列相关分析了碳排放对气象因子的影响。结果表明:碳排放与气温、风速、日照呈显著正相关,与气压、降水、湿度呈显著负相关;在长时间尺度上,碳排放对气象因子的变化有影响,对风速有直接影响,对降水有从滞后到直接的趋势。研究结果为云南省二氧化碳排放的控制提供了一定的理论参考。
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Analysis of the effect of carbon emissions on meteorological factors in Yunnan province
In recent years, global warming and climate extremes have occurred frequently, seriously affecting human life, production and sustainable development.To study the correlation between carbon emissions and climate change, complex networks and big data statistical analysis methods were used to construct a multi-factor climate network of Yunnan carbon emissions and multi-factor climate network by determining the connectivity of edges through Pearson correlation coefficients, and sliding series correlation was used to analyse the effect of carbon emissions on meteorological factors.The results show that carbon emissions show a positive correlation with temperature, wind speed and sunshine, and a negative correlation with air pressure, precipitation and humidity.On long time scales carbon emissions have an impact on changes in meteorological factors, with an immediate effect on wind speed and a trend from lagging to immediate on precipitation.The study provides some theoretical reference for the control of CO2 emissions in Yunnan Province.
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