希腊的财政脱轨与政治阶层

C. Konstantinos
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本文探讨了希腊财政脱轨的原因和加速其脱轨的因素。我们还调查了希腊政治阶层为了解决该国的经济危机而被迫采取的行动路线是否有任何替代方案,即由希腊政府和希腊的欧盟合作伙伴以及国际货币基金组织签署的财政调整计划。也就是说,本文调查并试图回答的问题是:希腊政治阶层在该国的金融脱轨中扮演了什么角色?为什么到目前为止希腊的三个财政调整计划都失败了?事实证明,欧元是希腊经济的生命线,还是套在其脖子上的绞索?欧元区解体——或者像一些分析人士提出的那样,建立“南北”欧元——是解决希腊经济面临的问题的办法吗?“英国脱欧”是否已被证明是欧洲一体化项目的最终失败,是否像一些人所说的那样,为欧洲其他国家的人民指明了道路?诚然,欧盟正站在一个关键的十字路口。主要有两种选择:第一种是最简单的选择,即停滞不前,随后取消旨在实现欧洲一体化的项目。我们赞同的第二个选择是,通过将欧洲货币联盟迅速转变为一个新的政治和经济联盟来加强欧洲一体化,这是对欧洲怀疑主义、反欧洲主义和各种形式的民族主义的最令人信服和全面的回应,这些民族主义试图以各种可能的方式拆除欧盟。这一发展绝不是欧洲最富裕国家向最贫穷国家提供的免费午餐;后者被要求采取严格的变革和改革计划,而这些较贫穷国家的政治阶层并不赞成这种行动方针,这就是它们落后于欧洲最富裕经济体的原因。
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Financial Derailment and the Political Class in Greece
In this paper we look into the causes of Greece’s financial derailment and the factors which contributed to its acceleration. We also investigate whether there were any alternatives to the course of action the Greek political class was forced to take in order to address the country’s economic crisis, i.e. the programmes for fiscal adjustment signed by the Greek government on the one hand, and Greece’s EU partners together with the IMF, on the other. Namely, the questions investigated and sought to be answered in this paper are: What was the part played by the Greek political class in the country’s financial derailment? Why have three programmes for fiscal adjustment failed so far in Greece? Has the Euro proven to be the very lifeline of the Greek economy, or a noose around its neck? Is the dismantling of the Eurozone – or a ‘Northern’ and ‘Southern’ Euro, as has been proposed by some analysts – the solution to the problem facing the Greek economy? Has ‘Brexit’ proven to be the ultimate failure of the European integration project, marking out the path to be taken by the rest of the peoples of Europe, as some suggest? It is true that the EU is standing at a crucial crossroads. There are two main options: The first one, which is the easiest choice, is stagnation, with the subsequent cancellation of the venture aiming at European integration. The second option, which we endorse, is the strengthening of European integration through the rapid transformation of the European monetary union into a new political and economic union, of a federation type, which is the most convincing and all-round response to Euro-skepticism, anti-Europeanism and all forms of nationalism, seeking to dismantle the EU in every possible way. This development is simply not a free meal offered by the richest countries in Europe to the poorest ones; the latter are required to adopt rigorous programmes for changes and reforms, a course of action not favoured by the political classes in these poorer countries, which is the reason why they are lagging behind the richest economies in Europe.
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