巴西城市中心通勤时间的制约因素:实证分析

Rafael Scherb, Raul da Mota Silveira Neto
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摘要

按照世界标准,巴西从家到公司的通勤时间很长。本文提供了通勤时间影响因素的证据,其分析基于各解释变量在计量回归中的不同结果。本文以2010年IBGE人口普查数据为基础,采用新的国土划分方法,计算了城市衔接各直接区域的平均通勤时间,并分析了区域间差异的原因。结果表明,该地区的社会经济特征、收入不平等(以基尼指数衡量)、密度、城市空间的使用(如支付租金的人的百分比)、甚至人口特征(如每个地区妇女的百分比)都有很强的影响。这样,就有可能讨论法院在制定旨在改善城市流动性的公共政策方面的咨询作用。
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Condicionantes do tempo de commuting dos centros urbanos brasileiros: uma análise empírica
Brazil presents a high commuting time from home to work by world standards. This paper provides evidences regarding the conditioning factors of commuting time and its analysis is based on the different results that each explanatory variable had in the econometric regression. Based on data from IBGE Census in 2010, this paper used a new division of the national territory to calculate the average time of commuting of each immediate region of urban articulation and identify the reasons why these disparities were verified between regions. The results indicate a strong influence of both socioeconomic characteristics of the region, as well as income inequality – measured by the gini index – and density, and the use of urban space, such as the percentage of people who pay rent, and even demographic characteristics, such as the percentage of women in each region. On this way, it is possible to discuss the advisory role of the courts of accounts in the elaboration of public policy aimed at better urban mobility.
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