基于固碳和多指标评价模型的森林经营决策

Dechen Xing, Dongyang Xi, Chengnan Cheng, Yingtong Lu
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本文根据碳汇的定义,通过添加参数建立固碳模型,计算了黑龙江省国有林区第六次和第七次清查中10种主要树种的碳汇。随后,对影响森林有效面积的4个一级指标进行分析,将其细化为10个二级指标,建立基于熵权法的多指标评价模型,对不同森林进行综合评价。根据评价结果,构建了森林有效面积与森林评价结果的拟合关系模型。以9种有效森林面积为例,得到了不同森林有效面积对应的综合评价指标。在此基础上,讨论了基于种伐平衡森林经营计划模式的森林有效面积模型。在之前评价模型的基础上,以塞罕坝森林为例,结合塞罕坝森林有效面积的具体情况,建立目标规划模型,寻找森林有效面积的过渡点,为森林经营者制定合适的经营方案。
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Forest management decision based on carbon sequestration and multi-index evaluation model
In this paper, according to the definition of carbon sinks, we established a carbon sequestration model by adding parameters, and calculated the carbon sinks of 10 main trees in the sixth and seventh inventory in the state-owned forest area of Heilongjiang Province. Subsequently, we analyzed the four first-level indicators that affect the effective area of the forest, and refined them into ten second-level indicators, and established a multi-index evaluation model based on the entropy weight method to comprehensively evaluate different forests. According to the evaluation results, we constructed the fitting relationship model between forest effective area and forest assessment results. Taking 9 kinds of effective forest area as an example, we get the comprehensive evaluation index corresponding to different forest effective area. Subsequently, we discussed the model of forest effective area based on the model of planting and cutting balanced forest management plan. Based on the previous evaluation model, taking the Saihanba forest as an example, combined with the specific situation of the effective area of the Saihanba forest, a goal programming model was established, to find the transition point of the effective area of the forest and formulate a suitable management plan for forest managers.
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