降雨变率在尼日利亚Shiroro水电站水库管理中的作用

Y. Suleiman, I. Ifabiyi
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引用次数: 17

摘要

水库的运行和管理通常是在长期的水资源管理经验的背景下进行的。任何水电站为了实现最佳发电而进行的水库管理都需要不断评估可用水量。流量监测的水文响应和仪器水文气象记录的统计分析,特别是降雨和水流,为合理的业务决策提供了必要的跳板。对四郎坝的水文气象资料(降雨、入水量、水库蓄水量和水轮机放水量)进行了统计分析,以探测其时空变化趋势。采用相关分析和回归分析对各变量建立模型。相关性在0.120和0.774之间,表明变量之间存在良好的关系。这必然会影响大坝的蓄水量,因为过剩的水会从大坝中释放出来,以维持多年的发电。建议坝方优化四郎坝放水,持续监测水文气象变量变化,为大坝有效运行提供预警系统,保护下游环境。关键词:降雨变率;水库管理;环境
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The role of rainfall variability in reservoir storage management at Shiroro hydropower dam, Nigeria
Reservoir operation and management is usually patterned after the background of long standing water resources management experience. Reservoir management for optimum power production at any hydropower station requires constant assessment of the quantity of available water. The hydrographic responses of flow monitoring and statistical analysis of instrumental hydro-met records, especially rainfall and stream flow provide the necessary springboard for soundoperational decisions. Statistical analysis of hydrometeorological data (rainfall, inflow, reservoir storage and turbine release) at Shiroro dam was carried out with the aim of detecting spatio - temporal trends. Correlation and regression analysis were used to develop models for the variables. The correlation of between 0.120 and 0.774 revealed favourable relationships between the variables. This has invariably affected reservoir storage at the dam as excess water is released from the dam to sustain power generation over the years. It is  recommended that dam operators optimize the release of water from  Shiroro dam and ensure continuous monitoring of changes in  hydrometeorological variables to provide early warning systems for  effective performance of the dam and to protect downstream environment. Key words : Rainfall Variability, Reservoir Management, Environment, Dam, Storage
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