{"title":"生命的游戏:一种基于投机泡沫形成期间欣快感传播的解释","authors":"Elsy Lizbeth Gómez Ramos, Héctor Adrián Guerrero Martínez","doi":"10.24275/UAM/AZC/DCSH/AE/2019V34N86/GOMEZ","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"Experimental studies have shown evidence that the dynamics in the stock markets generate that some agents encourage high expectations about an asset, as it is understood that it happens in a speculative bubble. Therefore, modeling the contagion of euphoria (expectations) can help to identify behavioral scenarios in a complex environment. The purpose of this research is to perform computer simulations using cellular automata (ACs) to emulate the contagion of euphoria during the formation of a speculative bubble. Specifically, The Game of Life by Conway is proposed as an example to simulate complex dynamics where the displacement of individuals is an essential element. The conclusions indicate that under this proposal only a few investors and a strategic location are required to infect a significant number of market participants.","PeriodicalId":127265,"journal":{"name":"Análisis Económico","volume":"94 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"2019-05-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"El juego de la vida: una interpretación basada en el contagio de la euforia durante la formación de burbujas especulativas\",\"authors\":\"Elsy Lizbeth Gómez Ramos, Héctor Adrián Guerrero Martínez\",\"doi\":\"10.24275/UAM/AZC/DCSH/AE/2019V34N86/GOMEZ\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"Experimental studies have shown evidence that the dynamics in the stock markets generate that some agents encourage high expectations about an asset, as it is understood that it happens in a speculative bubble. Therefore, modeling the contagion of euphoria (expectations) can help to identify behavioral scenarios in a complex environment. The purpose of this research is to perform computer simulations using cellular automata (ACs) to emulate the contagion of euphoria during the formation of a speculative bubble. Specifically, The Game of Life by Conway is proposed as an example to simulate complex dynamics where the displacement of individuals is an essential element. The conclusions indicate that under this proposal only a few investors and a strategic location are required to infect a significant number of market participants.\",\"PeriodicalId\":127265,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Análisis Económico\",\"volume\":\"94 1\",\"pages\":\"0\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":0.0000,\"publicationDate\":\"2019-05-01\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Análisis Económico\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.24275/UAM/AZC/DCSH/AE/2019V34N86/GOMEZ\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"\",\"JCRName\":\"\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Análisis Económico","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.24275/UAM/AZC/DCSH/AE/2019V34N86/GOMEZ","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"","JCRName":"","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
摘要
实验研究表明,股票市场的动态产生了一些代理人鼓励对某种资产的高期望的证据,因为它被理解为发生在投机泡沫中。因此,模拟欣快感(期望)的传染可以帮助识别复杂环境中的行为情景。本研究的目的是使用细胞自动机(ACs)进行计算机模拟,以模拟投机泡沫形成期间欣快感的传染。具体来说,我们以Conway的The Game of Life为例来模拟复杂的动态,其中个体的位移是一个必不可少的元素。结论表明,在这一建议下,只需要少数投资者和战略位置就可以影响大量市场参与者。
El juego de la vida: una interpretación basada en el contagio de la euforia durante la formación de burbujas especulativas
Experimental studies have shown evidence that the dynamics in the stock markets generate that some agents encourage high expectations about an asset, as it is understood that it happens in a speculative bubble. Therefore, modeling the contagion of euphoria (expectations) can help to identify behavioral scenarios in a complex environment. The purpose of this research is to perform computer simulations using cellular automata (ACs) to emulate the contagion of euphoria during the formation of a speculative bubble. Specifically, The Game of Life by Conway is proposed as an example to simulate complex dynamics where the displacement of individuals is an essential element. The conclusions indicate that under this proposal only a few investors and a strategic location are required to infect a significant number of market participants.