一种自动跳闸和报警仪表的检测模型

D. Sherwin
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引用次数: 3

摘要

自动跳闸和警告仪表(TWI)通过关闭或警告操作员即将发生的严重故障来保护重要机器。它们受到隐藏故障的影响,必须在频繁的检查中发现和纠正,当机器因TWI故障而不必要地停止时,假跳闸也可以通过检查来减少。在假定检查是泊松事件的前提下,利用马尔科夫模型对成本进行优化。与定期检查的模型相比,这简化了数学,并且通常同样接近事实。给出了近海石油工业中燃气轮机的一个例子。该模型的扩展涵盖了2-out- 3投票系统的情况,该系统越来越多地用于降低两种TWI失败的风险。优化通常在最优值周围相当平坦,并且检查通常必须符合操作需求,因此像这样的近似方法可能非常有用,如示例所示。
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An inspection model for automatic trips and warning instruments
Automatic trips and warning instruments (TWI) protect important machines by shutting them down or warning the operators of impending serious failure. They are subject to hidden faults which must be discovered and corrected at frequent inspections, and spurious trips when the machine is stopped unnecessarily because of a fault in the TWI spurious trips may also be reduced by inspections. A Markov model is used to optimize the inspection rate with respect to costs on the assumption that inspection is a Poisson event. This simplifies the mathematics compared to a model with periodic inspections and is often just as close to the truth. An example is given involving gas-turbines in the off-shore oil industry. An extension of the model covers the case of 2-out-of-3 voting systems which are increasingly used to reduce the risks of both types of TWI failure. The optimizations are usually rather flat around the optimum, and inspections often have to fit in with operational needs, so approximate methods such as this are potentially very useful as the example illustrates.
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