移民与长期停滞

Kaz Miyagiwa, Yoshiyasu Ono
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引用次数: 1

摘要

我们在动态模型中考察移民对东道国经济的影响,该模型可以处理长期失业问题。移民有不同的影响,这取决于东道国的经济状况。如果它面临失业,移民的涌入会加剧失业,减少本地居民的消费。相反,如果东道国实现了充分就业,移民在保持充分就业的同时促进了当地消费,前提是移民人数不要太多。然而,过多的移民涌入可能引发经济停滞。我们还发现,在充分就业的情况下,移民汇款对当地人有害,但在长期停滞的情况下,移民汇款是有益的。
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Immigration and Secular Stagnation
We examine the effect of immigration on the host-country economy in the dynamic model that can deal with secular unemployment. Immigration has contrasting effects, depending on the economic state of the host country. If it suffers from unemployment, an influx of immigrants worsens unemployment and decreases consumption by natives. If instead the host country has full employment, immigration boosts native consumption while maintaining full employment, provided that immigrants are not too numerous. An influx of too many immigrants however can trigger stagnation. We also find that immigrants’ remittances are harmful to natives under full employment but beneficial under secular stagnation.
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