农业生态系统组分状态变化的生态特征取决于环境气候因子的具体作用

H. Dovhal, N. Voloshyna
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摘要

本工作研究了当前气候期(1997-2016年)乌克兰农业气候资源和森林草原带的长期动态。利用相关回归分析方法,分析了热、湿制度对冬小麦和玉米农业生态系统状态的影响,即对作物产量、杂草程度和害虫危害的影响。结果表明,5月和6月降水量对冬小麦产量有显著影响,相关系数为0.8。玉米的决定因素为7月降水量(相关系数0.6)。在分析过程中发现,杂草程度对冬小麦和玉米的产量有影响(相关系数分别为-0,9和-0,5)。此外,某些作物的生产力取决于对病虫害的损害程度(r分别为-0.87和-0.7)。
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Ecological features of the state changes of the agroecosystem components depend on the specific effects of environmental climatic factors
The long-term dynamics of agro-climatic resources in Ukraine and forest steppe zones in the current climatic period was studied in this work (1997-2016 years.). The influence of the thermal regime and moistening regime on the state of agroecosystems of winter wheat and corn has been analyzed, namely the yield, the degree of weediness and damage by pests of the crops with the help of the correlation regression analysis. It was established that the amount of precipitation in May and June affect the productivity of winter wheat (the correlation coefficient is 0.8). Whereas for corn, the determining factor are the precipitation in July (correlation coefficient 0.6). In the course of analysis the degree of weediness was found to affect the yield of winter wheat and corn (correlation coefficient is -0,9 and -0,5). In addition, the productivity of certain crops depends on the degree of damage to pests and diseases (r = -0.87 and -0.7, respectively).
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