生产率与增长的j曲线:自由化后的印度制造业

A. Virmani, D. Hashim
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引用次数: 38

摘要

对印度制造业生产率的大多数估计发现,在20世纪90年代,印度制造业生产率出现了放缓。这让分析人士感到困惑,因为上世纪90年代的改革比上世纪80年代的改革更深入、更广泛,后者使印度经济增长率提高了2%。本文对大自由化后生产率与增长的J曲线假设进行了检验,发现数据广泛支持这一假设:技术过时、新技术的逐步采用和在实践中学习对测量生产率产生负向影响。
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J-Curve of Productivity and Growth: Indian Manufacturing Post-Liberalization
Most estimates of Indian manufacturing productivity find a slowdown in the 1990s. This has puzzled analysts, given that 1990s reforms were deeper and wider than the 1980s reforms that raised the growth rate of the Indian economy by 2 per cent points. This paper tests the hypothesis of the J curve of Productivity and Growth following major liberalization and finds it to be broadly supported by the data: Technological obsolescence, gradual adoption of new technology and learning by doing result in negative effects on measured productivity.
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