战争转型:21世纪大国竞争与冲突的未来

Anna Matilde Bassoli
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引用次数: 4

摘要

正在进行的重大技术变革以及世界各地军事机构适应这些变革的能力是本十年战略研究文献中许多重大贡献的核心。许多作者都在研究革命性的技术,这些技术有望在本世纪末彻底改变战争的性质(甚至可能是性质)。相比之下,其他人则集中于军事适应的机制和动态。一般来说,这两种思潮看待不同的时间线,前者不可避免地将当前的发展预测到未来,而后者则从过去寻求指导。在这些著作中,最近退休的澳大利亚少将米克·瑞恩所著的《战争转型:21世纪大国竞争与冲突的未来》作为一本独特的书脱颖而出,它旨在借鉴这两种学术趋势,并将它们投射到未来。Ryan在澳大利亚军队的职业生涯跨越了三十多年,并对军事教育做出了杰出的贡献,他是一个理想的人选,可以为军事从业者提供一本有指导意义的书,综合了这个时代的关键挑战。事实上,他的工作没有辜负人们的高期望。本书的核心内容是,《战争转型》总结了21世纪军事机构面临的所有主要挑战,并试图引导其成员走向一个人类对战争的贡献将受到前所未有的挑战的时代。第一章专门列举和研究了许多考验军事机构及其方法的变革和革命。这一章可能是本书最不吸引人的部分,但却是深入瑞安推理的必要步骤。由于安全环境的变化不仅限于技术变化,而且还会滑入社会经济领域,因此军事从业者需要迎接即将到来的时代挑战,并从新的角度思考解决方案。瑞安的书绝不是对军事技术创新的警告或赞扬,而是真诚地邀请武装部队人员拓宽视野,成为本世纪军事变革的主角。第三章和第四章奠定了一个活跃和创造性的军事机构的潜力,并代表了瑞安作为教育家工作的精髓。凭借清晰的风格和流畅的散文,Ryan分享了他对军事教育过程的热情,并鼓励同龄人和学生在快节奏的技术进步面前不要害羞。
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War Transformed: The Future of Twenty-First Century Great Power Competition and Conflict
Ongoing significant technological changes and the ability of military institutions worldwide to adapt to them are at the centre of many major contributions to the strategic studies literature this decade. Many authors are looking into the revolutionary technologies that promise to drastically change the character (or, perhaps, even the nature) of war by the end of the century. In contrast, others have concentrated on the mechanisms and dynamics of military adaptation. Generally, these two intellectual currents look at different timelines as the former inevitably projects current developments into the future, while the latter seeks guidance from the past. Among these works, War Transformed: The Future of Twenty-First Century Great Power Competition and Conflict by Australian Major General Mick Ryan, who has recently retired, stands out as a unique volume which aims to draw on these two scholarly tendencies and project them into the future. With a career in the Australian Army spanning more than three decades and an outstanding dedication to military education, Ryan is in the ideal position to deliver an instructive volume that synthesises the critical challenges of this era for military practitioners. And, indeed, his work does not fail to meet its high expectations. At the core, War Transformed sums up all the major challenges for 21st-century military establishments and seeks to guide their members as they navigate towards an era when human contribution to war will be challenged as never before. Chapter One is solely dedicated to listing and studying the many transformations and revolutions testing military institutions and their approaches. Perhaps the least engaging part of the book, this chapter is a necessary step into Ryan’s reasoning. Because the shifts in the security environment are not limited to changes in technology but rather slide into the socioeconomic sphere, military practitioners need to meet the challenge of the forthcoming times and think about solutions from a new perspective. Far from being a warning or praise of technological innovation in the military, Ryan’s book is a heartfelt invitation to armed forces personnel to broaden their horizons and become protagonists of military change throughout the century. Chapters Three and Four lay down the potential of an active and creative military institution and represent the essence of Ryan’s work as an educator. With a clear style and fluent prose, Ryan shares his passion for the military educational process and encourages peers and students alike not to be shy in the face of fast-paced technological advancement.
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