粮食储存市场对期货市场动荡的弹性

E. Hayhurst, B. Brorsen
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引用次数: 0

摘要

过去20年里,谷物现货市场和期货市场在交割过程中出现过不一致的情况。这种不融合对存储市场的经济影响是什么?为了回答这个问题,我们估计了玉米、大豆和小麦的储粮供应。缺乏收敛性是使用历史基础来衡量的。计量经济模型显示,存储供给与不收敛之间没有关系。因此,实证结果表明,市场能够适应趋同的缺乏。总体而言,研究表明储能市场对结构变化具有弹性。
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Resilience of Grain Storage Markets to Upheaval in Futures Markets
The past two decades have had times when grain cash and futures markets did not converge during delivery. What was the economic impact of this non-convergence on storage markets? To answer this question the supply of storage is estimated for corn, soybeans, and wheat. The lack of convergence is measured using a historical basis. The econometric model shows no relationship between the supply of storage and the lack of convergence. Thus, empirical results suggest that markets were able to adapt to the lack of convergence. Overall, the research indicates the resilience of storage markets to structural change.
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