不同价格指数对土耳其实际GDP增长与实际最低工资增长之间联系的影响

Onur Sunal, Ö. Alp
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引用次数: 0

摘要

土耳其CPI作为物价平减指数的准确性值得怀疑,尤其是在计算实际最低工资时。本文采用基于VAR的格兰杰因果关系检验框架,考察了不同价格指数对实际GDP增长率与实际最低工资增长率之间关系的影响。结果表明,实际最低工资增长率与实际GDP增长率在两个方向上都不存在因果关系。我们还发现名义最低工资增长率与COLI(替代价格指数)增长率之间存在双向格兰杰因果关系。结果还表明,与我们的假设一致,当使用替代平减指数时,因果关系显着不同。
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Effect of different price indices on linkage between real GDP growth and real minimum wage growth in Turkey
The accuracy of Turkish CPI as a price deflator is questionable especially when it comes to calculating real minimum wages. In this study we investigate the effect of different price indices on the relation between real GDP growth rates and real minimum wage growth rates by using a Granger causality analysis framework using VAR based granger causality tests. Result reveals that there is no causality between real minimu wage growth rates and real GDP growth rates in both directions. We also find a biderectional Granger causality between nominal minimum wage growth rates and COLI (an alternative price indice) growth rates. The results also showed that in line with our assumptions when an alternative deflator is used, the causality relations significantly differes.
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