为什么经济自由指数不能充分反映经济自由和未来经济繁荣?

A. Kešeljevič
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摘要

长期的经济增长取决于经济活动的制度设置。可持续的长期增长来自于维持自由的制度。可以通过经济自由指标来考察制度框架的质量,从而拉近经济自由与经济繁荣之间的关系。实证研究和理论研究的概要表明,经济自由可能是经济繁荣的重要先决条件。然而,经济自由和经济绩效之间的关系有时可能比经济理论的预测更弱、更不重要,原因有很多。主要原因在于目前提出的经济自由指标在方法和内容上往往存在一定的缺陷,从而可能导致经济政策结论的不充分甚至错误。因此,它们既不能作为经济自由本身的充分指标,也不能作为未来经济繁荣的充分指标。
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Why Indexes of Economic Freedom Cannot Be Sufficient Indicators of Economic Freedom and Future Economic Prosperity?
Long term economic growth depends on the institutional setting for economic activity. Sustainable long term growth emerges from institutions which sustain freedom. Quality of the institutional framework can be explored through the index of economic freedom in order to bring closer the relationship between economic freedom and economic prosperity. An outline of empirical and theoretical investigation shows that economic freedom could be an important precondition for economic prosperity. However, there are many reasons why the relationship between economic freedom and economic performance could be sometimes weaker and less significant than the prediction of economic theory. The main reason lies in the fact that indexes of economic freedom presented so far tend to suffer from certain deficiencies with regard to their methodology and content and may therefore lead to insufficient or even wrong economic policy conclusions. As such they cannot be, neither a sufficient indicator of economic freedom itself, either of future economic prosperity.
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