创业量子术语中的不确定性、时机和运气

David Leong
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引用次数: 0

摘要

奇怪的是,创业研究一直对运气保持沉默,因为运气本身是难以捉摸的,无法用任何有意义的测量方法系统地量化。本文将对运气在确定性到绝对不确定性的范围内所处的位置进行明确和系统的评估。运气的社会建构、运气的影响、与运气有关的人为干预探析关于运气的操作化的讨论将打开以量子不确定性、混沌理论、海森堡不确定性原理和威克的语义为前提的理论探索的潜在丰富的静脉。海森堡的测不准原理或奈特的测不准理论或混沌理论,它们不是相互竞争的选择,也不是不可调和的,因为它们处理的不是不确定性现象的同一方面。本文将探讨创业过程路径中运气的不确定性。最后,它提供了一个令人信服的命题,即关于最终回报的机会和有利时机。
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Uncertainty, Timing and Luck on Quantum terms in Entrepreneurship
Entrepreneurship researches have been curiously silent on luck since luck, itself is elusive and cannot be systematically quantified in any meaningful measurement. An explicit and systematic evaluation of where luck is situated along the spectrum of certainty to absolute uncertainty will be undertaken in this paper. Exploration on the social construction of luck, effect of luck, human interventions relating to luck; the discussion on the operationalization of luck will open potentially rich veins of theoretical inquiry premising on quantum uncertainties, chaos theory, Heisenberg uncertainty principle and Weick’s sensemaking. Heisenberg uncertainty principle or Knightian’s uncertainty or the chaos theory, they are not competing alternatives and irreconcilable as they are not dealing with the same aspect of the indeterministic phenomenon. This paper will explore the indeterminacy of luck along the processual pathway of entrepreneurial venturing. It concludes by offering a compelling proposition on opportunistic and propitious timing with regards to the eventual rewards.
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