{"title":"贝叶斯网络中信念随时间更新的工具","authors":"Jie Yang, C. Mohan, K. Mehrotra, P. Varshney","doi":"10.1109/TAI.2002.1180816","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"We have developed a tool that facilitates dynamically updating beliefs with time. This tool addresses directed probabilistic inference networks that may contain cycles, and takes into account the time delays associated with observations and decisions. Relevance of different observers may decay at different rates in the same application, and the belief in a hypothesis decays towards the associated prior probability. Simple models with few parameters have been implemented, with a user interface that facilitates changes to the structure and parameters of the graphical model, and associated conditional probabilities.","PeriodicalId":197064,"journal":{"name":"14th IEEE International Conference on Tools with Artificial Intelligence, 2002. (ICTAI 2002). Proceedings.","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"2002-11-04","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"3","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"A tool for belief updating over time in Bayesian networks\",\"authors\":\"Jie Yang, C. Mohan, K. Mehrotra, P. Varshney\",\"doi\":\"10.1109/TAI.2002.1180816\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"We have developed a tool that facilitates dynamically updating beliefs with time. This tool addresses directed probabilistic inference networks that may contain cycles, and takes into account the time delays associated with observations and decisions. Relevance of different observers may decay at different rates in the same application, and the belief in a hypothesis decays towards the associated prior probability. Simple models with few parameters have been implemented, with a user interface that facilitates changes to the structure and parameters of the graphical model, and associated conditional probabilities.\",\"PeriodicalId\":197064,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"14th IEEE International Conference on Tools with Artificial Intelligence, 2002. (ICTAI 2002). Proceedings.\",\"volume\":null,\"pages\":null},\"PeriodicalIF\":0.0000,\"publicationDate\":\"2002-11-04\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"3\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"14th IEEE International Conference on Tools with Artificial Intelligence, 2002. (ICTAI 2002). Proceedings.\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.1109/TAI.2002.1180816\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"\",\"JCRName\":\"\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"14th IEEE International Conference on Tools with Artificial Intelligence, 2002. (ICTAI 2002). Proceedings.","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1109/TAI.2002.1180816","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"","JCRName":"","Score":null,"Total":0}
A tool for belief updating over time in Bayesian networks
We have developed a tool that facilitates dynamically updating beliefs with time. This tool addresses directed probabilistic inference networks that may contain cycles, and takes into account the time delays associated with observations and decisions. Relevance of different observers may decay at different rates in the same application, and the belief in a hypothesis decays towards the associated prior probability. Simple models with few parameters have been implemented, with a user interface that facilitates changes to the structure and parameters of the graphical model, and associated conditional probabilities.