俄罗斯正在重组吗?关于创造和破坏就业的新证据

H. Broadman, F. Recanatini
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引用次数: 35

摘要

作者探讨了俄罗斯企业重组的劳动力动态,实证评估了就业创造和破坏模式如何与不同部门和地区的企业重组的各个方面以及不同形式、规模、年份和所有权的绩效特征相关。基于2000年50多次实地考察的案例研究证据表明,就业机会已经被摧毁,但只是在某些部门和地区受到有限程度的破坏,这主要是因为制度和激励方面的限制,以及仍然普遍存在的“社会主义”企业文化。创造了就业机会- -特别是在贬值对重要替代品和促进出口产生最显著影响的部门- -但速度很慢,主要是因为缺乏熟练工人和区域流动性有限。区域内的劳动力流动率似乎高于区域间的。1996 - 1999年俄罗斯89个地区24个工业部门约128 000家企业的最新数据(由Goskomstat提供)表明,典型的公司在雇员人数方面只经历了适度的缩减- -约12%。规模较小的公司进入了一些行业,规模较大的成熟企业退出了一些行业。除了1998年的停顿外,就业机会的创造率稳步上升,而就业机会的破坏率则有所下降,在1998 - 99年大幅下降。“自愿”员工离职仍然是裁员的主要形式,而且这种形式在不断增长,通过裁员而裁员的比例正在缩小(目前约占总裁员的4%)。企业规模和净就业增长在统计上并不相关,但所有权形式似乎很重要。企业规模在统计上也与盈利能力呈正相关,但通过改变净就业增长进行重组似乎并非如此。俄罗斯的重组似乎需要变得更有效率。
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Is Russia Restructuring? New Evidence on Job Creation and Destruction
The authors explorethe labor dynamics of Russian enterprise restructuring, empirically assessing how patterns of job creation and destruction are related to various aspects of enterprise restructuring across firms in different sectors and regions, and to different forms, sizes, vintages, and performance characteristics of ownership. Evidence from case studies - based on more than 50 site visits in 2000 - suggests that jobs have been destroyed, but only to a limited degree in some sectors and regions, largely because of institutional and incentive constraints and a still-widespread"socialist"corporate culture. Jobs have been created - particularly in sectors where devaluation had the most pronounced effect on important substitution and export promotion - but only slowly, mostly for lack of skilled workers and because regional mobility is limited. Labor turnover appears higher within regions than across regions. Newly available data for 1996 - 99 (provided by Goskomstat) for about 128,000 enterprises in 24 industrial sectors in Russia's 89 regions indicates that the typical firm has experienced only modest downsizing - about 12 percent - in number of employees. Smaller firms have entered, and larger, mature businesses have exited some sectors. Except for a lull in 1998, the rate of job creation has steadily increased and the rate of job destruction has declined, dropping substantially in 1998 - 99."Voluntary"worker separations remain the main - and growing - form of layoff, and the proportion of layoffs through redundancies is shrinking (now about 4 percent of total separations). Firm size and net employment growth are not statistically related, but form of ownership seems to matter. Firm size is also statistically correlated (positively) with profitability, but restructuring through changes in net employment growth appears not to be. It seems Russian restructuring needs to become more efficient.
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