评估营运成本及乘客的支付意愿,以评估空中的士服务的财务可行性

Maximilian Fischer, Denis Heckmann, A. Nase
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摘要

几个城市和地区已经宣布,未来将推出基于电动垂直起降(eVTOL)的空中出租车服务。为了成功地实施这些服务,必须评估其财务可行性。作为“SkyCab”项目的一部分,我们设计了一种基于eVTOL的空中出租车服务概念,评估了建立这种服务的相关成本,确定了影响定价的主要因素,并评估了目标客户的支付意愿。本文概述了在五个步骤内评估财务可行性的方法。首先,根据当地的出行需求确定目标客户群。其次,选择航线网络和垂直降落点,以满足目标客户的出行需求,并提供节省旅行时间的好处。第三,支付意愿估算:由此确定目标客户群体的平均财力,评估空中出租车服务相对于其他交通工具的时间和舒适度优势。第四,确定了整个空中出租车生态系统的运营成本,其中飞行员、飞机和间接成本占总运营成本的2/3。最后,对驱动财务可行性的主要运营影响因素如利用率、占用率和自动化水平进行了评价。
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Assessment of the Operational Costs and the Passengers' Willingness-to-Pay to Evaluate the Financial Viability of an Air Taxi Service
Several cities and regions have announced to launch electric Vertical Take-Off and Landing (eVTOL) based air taxi services in the future. To successfully implement such services, the financial viability must be assessed. As part of the project "SkyCab", an eVTOL based air taxi service concept was designed, associated costs to set-up such service assessed, major impact factors on the pricing identified and the willingness-to-pay of the target customers evaluated. The paper outlines the approach to evaluate the financial viability within five steps. First, the target customer group is identified based on the local mobility demand. Second, route network and vertiport locations are selected meeting the target customer trip demand and providing travel time saving benefits. Third, the willingness-to-pay is estimated: Therefore, the average financial power of the target customer groups is determined, and time and comfort advantages of an air taxi service compared to other means of transportation are evaluated. Fourth, the operational costs under consideration of the entire air taxi ecosystem are identified where pilot, aircraft and overhead costs contribute to 2/3 of the overall operational costs. Last, main operational impact factors such as the utilization rate, occupation rate and level of automation driving the financial viability are evaluated.
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