贝叶斯半参数二元响应模型与样本理论的比较

Xiangjin Shen, H. Tsurumi, Shiliang Li
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引用次数: 0

摘要

提出了利用马尔可夫链蒙特卡罗算法对二元响应模型进行贝叶斯半参数估计的方法。给出了参数模型和半参数模型的性能。采用均方误差、受试者工作特征曲线和边际效应作为模型选择标准。模拟数据和蒙特卡罗实验表明,除非二进制数据极度不平衡,否则半参数模型和参数模型的性能是一样好的。然而,当数据极不平衡时,极大似然估计不收敛,而贝叶斯算法收敛。并给出了一个应用。
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Comparison of Bayesian and Sample Theory Semi-Parametric Binary Response Model
A Bayesian semi-parametric estimation of the binary response model using Markov Chain Monte Carlo algorithms is proposed. The performances of the parametric and semi-parametric models are presented. The mean squared errors, receiver operating characteristic curve, and the marginal effect are used as the model selection criteria. Simulated data and Monte Carlo experiments show that unless the binary data is extremely unbalanced the semi-parametric and parametric models perform equally well. However, if the data is extremely unbalanced the maximum likelihood estimation does not converge whereas the Bayesian algorithms do. An application is also presented.
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