天然气需求的价格和收入弹性:国际证据

Paul J. Burke, Hewen Yang
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引用次数: 77

摘要

天然气在世界能源结构中所占的份额越来越大。在本文中,我们使用44个国家样本的国家级数据来估计天然气需求的价格和收入弹性。我们给出了单方程结果和测量天然气价格与探明天然气储量的结果。我们的工具既包括国内储量,也包括其他国家的距离加权储量。我们估计天然气需求的平均长期价格弹性约为- 1.25,天然气需求的平均长期收入弹性为+1或更高。我们还对工业和家庭的最终天然气需求提出了单独的估计。
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The Price and Income Elasticities of Natural Gas Demand: International Evidence
Natural gas contributes a growing share of the world's energy mix. In this paper we use national-level data for a sample of 44 countries to estimate the price and income elasticities of natural gas demand. We present both single-equation results and results instrumenting natural gas prices with proved natural gas reserves. Our instrument includes both domestic reserves and distance-weighted reserves in other countries. We obtain estimates of the average long-run price elasticity of natural gas demand of around −1.25 and of the average long-run income elasticity of natural gas demand of +1 and higher. We also present separate estimates for final natural gas demand by industry and households.
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