全球化与贫困的联系:来自跨国分析的证据

Ravindra Deyshappria
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引用次数: 12

摘要

本研究利用基于1.90美元国际贫困线的贫困人口指数和德累尔、加斯顿和马滕斯(2008)开发的KOF全球化指数,考察了全球化对119个国家贫困的影响。研究的主要目的是考察全球化对贫困的总体影响和全球化对贫困的区域具体影响。基于OLS方法的横截面分析表明,全球化显著降低了所选国家的贫困水平。除此之外,该研究还发现,中等教育入学率、城市人口比例和通电人口比例也能减少贫困。然而,全球化对贫困的影响并非在所有区域都是平等的。基于区域的分析证实,全球化在除撒哈拉以南非洲以外的所有考虑区域都减少了贫困。具体而言,全球化对减贫的贡献在南亚区域更为显著,其次是东亚和太平洋区域以及欧洲和中亚区域。因此,该研究强烈建议各国参与全球化进程,但贸易政策、资本账户和劳动力市场的开放程度应根据本国宏观经济状况和未来经济目标来决定。
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Globalization-Poverty Nexuses: Evidences from Cross-Country Analysis
The current study examines the impact of globalization on poverty across 119 countries by utilizing poverty headcount index based on 1.90$ international poverty line and KOF globalization index developed by Dreher, Gaston, and Martens (2008). The main objectives of the research are to examine the general impact of globalization on poverty and region specific impact of globalization on poverty. The crosssection analysis based on OLS method suggests that globalization significantly reduces the level of poverty of selected countries. Apart from that, the study found that secondary education enrolment ratio, percentage of urban population and percentage of population who has access to electricity also reduce the poverty. However, impact of globalization on poverty is not equal across all the regions. The region-based analysis confirms that globalization reduces poverty in all considered regions except Sub-Saharan Africa. More specifically, contribution of globalization on poverty reduction is more substantial in South Asia region followed by East Asia and Pacific and Europe and Central Asia regions. Consequently, the study strongly recommends countries to engage with the process of globalization and however the degree of opening up trade policies, capital accounts and labor markets should be decided based on their own domestic macroeconomic conditions and future economic goals.
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