在印度-太平洋地区发展BIMSTEC泰国自由贸易区

Piti Srisangnam, Chayodom Sabhasri, Surat Horachaikul, Jirayudh Sinthuphan4and, Jittichai Rudjanakanoknad
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摘要

为了制定创造经济价值的政策,并利用孟加拉湾倡议的多部门技术和经济合作(BIMSTEC)自由贸易区的发展,本文采用了两种研究工具。第一个是基于全球贸易分析项目(GTAP)模型,作为一种工具来探索自由贸易区实施的量化影响。然而,由于模型的局限性,我们采用了一个互补的定性分析框架,以确保研究必须在各个方面尽可能全面。本文选择的定性分析框架称为PEST分析。通过实地调研、深度访谈、焦点小组会议和模型研究,本文得出结论:BIMSTEC是一个具有高购买力和高增长率的大型市场,是一个巨大的自然资源和人力资源的重要来源。它离泰国不远,同时,它的社会和文化条件与泰国非常接近。报告的结论是,一个更强大的BIMSTEC是印度-太平洋地区的重要基础。JEL代码:F13, f15
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Development of BIMSTEC Free Trade Area for Thailand in Indo-Pacific
To develop a policy for creation of economic value and utilise the development of Bay of Bengal Initiative for Multi-Sectoral Technical and Economic Cooperation (BIMSTEC) free trade area for Thailand, two research tools are adopted in this article. The first one is based on the Global Trade Analysis Project (GTAP) model, adopted as a tool to explore quantitative impacts from the implementation of free trade area. Due to the limitations of the model, however, we have adopted a complementing qualitative analytical framework to ensure that the research must be as comprehensive as possible in every aspect. The qualitative analytical framework chosen in this article is called PEST analysis. Having completed field research, in-depth interviews, focus group meetings and model studies, this article concludes that BIMSTEC is a large-scale market with high purchasing power and growth rate as well as a great source of vast natural and human resources. It is situated not far from Thailand, and at the same time, its social and cultural conditions are very close to those of Thailand’s. It concludes that a stronger BIMSTEC is an essential foundation of Indo-Pacific. JEL Codes: F13, F 15
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