泰国道路交通速度时空预测研究

Rathachai Chawuthai, Kasidit Pruekwangkhao, T. Threepak
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引用次数: 0

摘要

我们的研究任务的最终目标是在泰国建立一个交通模型,用于旅行时间预测,以改善智慧城市的移动领域。为了实现我们的使命,这项研究将重点放在任何参考点在入境时间的交通速度预测上,这是旅行时间预测的重要组成部分。在这项研究中,我们采用线性模型来预测未来几分钟内一些公里石的交通速度。我们的预测模型在某些时空条件下具有较低的均方根误差得分。此外,在特征选择过程中提取的公里石之间的时间滞后关联被观察为道路上的交通依赖网络,用于分析未来交通拥堵的蔓延。
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Spatial-Temporal Traffic Speed Prediction on Thailand Roads
The ultimate goal of our research mission is to build a traffic model for travel time prediction in Thailand in order to improve the mobility domain of the smart city. To achieve our mission, this piece of research places important on a traffic speed prediction of any reference points at an incoming time that is one significant part of the travel time prediction. In this study, we employ a linear model for predicting traffic speed of some kilometer stones in the next several minutes. Our prediction model performs less root-mean-squared-error score under some spatial-temporal conditions. In addition, the temporal-lagged associations among kilometer stones, which were extracted during the feature selection process, are observed as a traffic-dependent network on roads for analyzing the traffic congestion spreads in the future.
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