土耳其发电中的资源多样化

Serkan Dilek, A. Konak
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摘要

发电利用天然气、燃料油、煤、褐煤、地热、风能、太阳能、水力等,是工业生产最重要的投入之一。依赖一种或几种发电来源是一个国家工业和经济的重要风险因素。其中一种资源的供应出现问题或价格上涨可能会对整个国家的工业产生不利影响,从而影响经济。在这项研究中,我们测量了土耳其在2000-2020年间用于发电的资源集中度。采用赫芬达尔-赫希曼指数和浓度指数。在此期间结束时,土耳其电力生产的资源集中度开始下降。减少天然气的使用,更多地使用地热、太阳能和风能资源是有效的。2008年,土耳其使用天然气发电的比例为49.8%,到2020年,这一比例降至23.1%。2002年,土耳其的电力生产有95.6%来自四个来源,到2020年,这一比例下降到81.3%。这些比率表明,土耳其在发电方面增加了多样化,但这种多样化仍然不够。
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Resource Diversification in Turkey’s Electricity generation
Natural gas, fuel oil, coal, lignite, geothermal, wind, solar, hydraulics, etc. are used in electricity generation, which is one of the most important inputs of industrial production. Being dependent on one or several sources of electricity generation is an important risk factor for the industry and economy of the country. A problem in the supply of one of these resources or an increase in prices may adversely affect the entire country’s industry and therefore the economy. In this research, we measured the concentration of the resources Turkey uses in electricity generation between the years 2000-2020. We used the Herfindahl-Hirschman and concentration indices. The resource concentration in Turkey’s electricity production started to decrease towards the end of the period. Reducing the use of natural gas and more use of geothermal, solar, and wind resources have been effective in this result. While Turkey produced 49.8% of its electricity production using natural gas in 2008, this rate decreased to 23.1% in 2020. While Turkey provided 95.6% of its electricity production from four sources in 2002, this rate decreased to 81.3% in 2020. These rates show that Turkey has increased diversification in electricity generation, but this diversification is still not sufficient.
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