随机银行间网络金融传染动力学模拟

J. Leventides, K. Loukaki, V. Papavassiliou
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引用次数: 26

摘要

本研究的目的是利用从复杂网络理论中提取的技术来评估金融体系对外生冲击的弹性。我们通过蒙特卡罗模拟研究了几种网络拓扑的脆弱性,使用了一个简单的默认传染模型应用于不同规模的银行间网络。我们通过系统中的每家银行的外源性破产触发一系列银行危机,并观察在不同情景下系统内起作用的传播机制。最后,我们通过分析银行间传染的几个关键驱动因素的相互作用来补充现有文献,如网络拓扑、杠杆、互联性、银行规模和银行间风险敞口的异质性和同质性。
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Simulating Financial Contagion Dynamics in Random Interbank Networks
The purpose of this study is to assess the resilience of financial systems to exogenous shocks using techniques drawn from the theory of complex networks. We investigate by means of Monte Carlo simulations the fragility of several network topologies using a simple default model of contagion applied on interbank networks of varying sizes. We trigger a series of banking crises by exogenously failing each bank in the system and observe the propagation mechanisms that take effect within the system under different scenarios. Finally, we add to the existing literature by analyzing the interplay of several crucial drivers of interbank contagion, such as network topology, leverage, interconnectedness, heterogeneity and homogeneity across bank sizes and interbank exposures.
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