气候学的干湿热冷波强度不同

S. Morozova, Viktor N. Abannikov, Elena A. Polianskaia, M. Alimpieva
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摘要

本文讨论了以冷热波动形式呈现的日平均气温增减的统计分析结果。我们所说的一波热(冷)是指每天平均气温变化3度或更多,并持续至少两天。如果一波热(冷)被一天的冷(暖)或等温线打断,这种情况被认为是单波。所有的波浪都分为干湿两种。如果一波在发展过程中至少有一天有降水,就被认为是湿波。我们计算了发生的频率、干湿波的持续时间以及每波降水的天数。对不同强度的波进行了分析。平均而言,每年暖波和寒波的次数是相同的。暖波和寒波在冬季和夏季出现的次数大致相同。在春季,热浪压倒寒潮,而在秋季则相反。波浪的平均持续时间为4天。波浪越强烈,持续时间越长。大多数海浪是湿的。85%的热浪和75%的寒潮都伴有降水。在波浪持续的时间里,大约有一半的日子会有降水。寒潮常常被一天平均气温的上升所打断。正是在这些日子里观测到降水。天气分析表明,这种冷波在一天内“中断”的情况与冷锋上活跃的气旋形成过程有关。冷锋处的波浪形成刺激了降水。
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CLIMATOLOGY OF DRY AND WET HEAT AND COLD WAVES OF DIFFERENT INTENSITY
The article discusses the results of a statistical analysis of increases and decreases in the average daily air temperature, presented as waves of heat and cold. By a wave of heat (cold) we mean a change in the average daily air temperature by three degrees or more that lasted for at least two days. If a wave of heat (cold) was interrupted by one day of cooling (warming) or isothermy, such cases were considered a single wave. All waves were divided into dry and wet. A wave was considered wet if there was precipitation on at least one day during the development of this wave. We calculated the frequency of occurrence, duration of dry and wet waves, and the number of days with precipitation for each wave. The analysis was carried out for waves of different intensities. On average, the number of warm and cold waves per year is the same. Approximately the same number of warm and cold waves occur in winter and summer. In spring, heat waves prevail over cold waves, while in autumn the trend is opposite. The average duration of a wave is 4 days. The more intense the wave, the longer its duration. The majority of waves are wet. Precipitation accompanies 85% of heat waves and 75% of cold waves. Precipitation falls on about half the days of the wave’s duration. Cold waves are quite often interrupted by one-day increases in the average daily temperature. It is during these days that precipitation is observed. Synoptic analysis has shown that such cases of one-day ‘interruption’ of cold waves are associated with active processes of cyclogenesis on cold fronts. Wave formation at the cold front stimulates precipitation.
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