随着伊朗国王的倒台,美国的政策是否更倾向于反伊朗而非亲阿拉伯?历史分析

Ilmi Dwiastuti
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摘要

摘要自伊朗国王倒台以来,美伊关系发生了重大变化。在沙阿政权期间,美伊通过经济和军事伙伴关系经历了温暖的关系,然而,自伊朗革命以来直到今天,这种关系发生了变化。在布什执政期间,伊朗成为了邪恶轴心之一。伊朗国王的倒台也改变了美国外交政策的方向。这引发了一个问题:随着伊朗国王的倒台,美国的外交政策是否更倾向于反伊朗,而不是亲阿拉伯?本文试图通过历史分析来回答这个问题。它考察了美国在冷战时期和冷战后的政策。因此,美国在该地区的政策并不总是反伊朗而不是亲阿拉伯。地区格局的变化影响了当时美国总统将伊朗问题放在一边的优先事项,就像乔治·h·w·布什、克林顿和奥巴马政府那样。因此,领导人的特点也严重影响了美国在伊朗的姿态,因为布什和特朗普的个性和政策显然是反对伊朗的。然而,尽管美伊关系充满活力,但自从伊朗国王倒台以来,伊朗一直是美国在波斯湾利益的威胁之一。
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HAS THE US POLICY BEEN MORE ANTI-IRANIAN THAN PRO-ARAB WITH THE FALL OF THE SHAH? A HISTORICAL ANALYSIS
AbstractSince the fall of the Shah, the US-Iran relations have changed significantly. During the Shah regime, US-Iran experience a warm relationship through economic and military partnerships, however, it changed since the Iran revolution until today. Iran turned out to be one of the axis of evil during the Bush administration. The fall of the Shah also changes the direction of the foreign policy of the US. It then led to the proposition of whether the US foreign policy has been more anti-Iranian than pro-Arab with the fall of the Shah. This paper seeks to answer this question through historical analysis. It examines the US policy during the Cold War era and the post-Cold War. Therefore, the US policy in the region is not always anti-Iranian than the pro-Arab case. The changed regional architecture influences the priorities of the President of the US at that time to put aside Iran's issue, as it happened on George H.W. Bush, Clinton, and Obama administration. Thus, the characteristic of the leader also heavily influences US posture in Iran, as Bush and Trump's personality and policies are clearly against Iran. However, despite the dynamic relations of the US-Iran, Iran has always been one of the threats for the US interest in the Persian Gulf since the Shah has fallen.
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