探讨电力部门决策者决策建模的简化方法

Salvador Doménech, J. Villar, F. A. Campos, M. Rivier
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引用次数: 1

摘要

关于如何对开放的中长期发电市场进行建模,已有大量文献,有助于分析和理解这些市场,帮助公司规划具有成本效益的短期市场战略和/或长期发电能力投资,并支持监管机构和政策制定者进行政策决策和市场设计。然而,这些模型没有明确考虑对投资决策、技术组合和批发市场价格的影响;而是作为模型的外部被动输入。本文回顾了在这种背景下政策决策建模的现有方法,并提供了一个理论建模框架,该框架明确考虑了自由化电力系统中决策者决策与发电投资和运营以及客户反应的相互作用。这种基于双层优化的模型有助于对电力部门的一些政策决策进行长期评估。
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Towards a simplified approach for modeling policymaker's decisions in the power sector
Plenty of literature exists about how to model liberalized electricity generation markets for the medium and long terms, contributing to the analyze and understanding of those markets, helping companies to plan cost-efficient shortterm market strategies and/or long-term generation capacity investments, and supporting regulators and policymakers in policy decisions and market designs. However, those models do not explicitly consider the impact on investment decisions, mix of technologies and wholesale market prices; of policy decisions but as an external passive input to the model. This paper reviews existing approaches to model policy decisions in such a context, and provides a theoretical modeling framework that explicitly considers the interaction of policymakers' decisions with the generation investment and operation, and customers' response in a liberalized power system. Such kind of model, based on bi-level optimization, contributes to the longterm assessment of some policy decisions in the electricity sector.
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