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引用次数: 0

摘要

目的。尽管乌克兰目前评估铁路上列车交通安全的方法没有提供真实和充分的情况,而且国外的经验也没有为乌克兰铁路上的问题提供类似解决办法的可能性,但已经确定了改进评估铁路上列车交通安全的方法的目标。方法:为了改进技术审计期间铁路列车交通安全评估的方法,建议使用四个指标:累积损失的事故数量;伤亡人数;年内发生交通事故的数量,但其后果与经济损失无关;交通安全审核员认定的违规次数。研究结果:对铁路列车交通安全评价方法进行了改进。同时,在方法中引入了四个指标来计算铁路的列车交通安全。还对这些指标进行了排名。利用所采用指标的统计数据,得到列车安全综合评价的数学模型,并在此基础上对Ukrzaliznytsia JSC进行了交通安全比较评价。因此,应该指出的是,2015-2018年交通安全状况的动态与ukrzaliiznytsia JSC通常的交通事故数量不同。一种改进的评估铁路列车交通安全状况的方法使我们能够在技术审计期间进行充分的计算和建立交通安全的真实状况。创意。本文对铁路列车交通安全评价方法进行了改进,可应用于技术审核。实用价值。改进后的方法可以评估列车交通安全的总体水平,并在技术审计过程中确定真正的威胁和风险,在未来制定适当的措施和行动时可以消除这些威胁和风险。
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IMPROVING THE METHODOLOGY FOR ASSESSING THE TRAIN TRAFFIC SAFETY AT THE RAILWAY
Purpose. Despite the fact that the current methodology in Ukraine for assessing the train traffic safety at the railway does not provide a real and adequate picture, and foreign experience does not open up the possibility of a similar solution to the problems at Ukrainian railways, the goal has been set to improve the methodology for assessing the train traffic safety at the railway. Methodology .To improve the methodology for assessing the train traffic safety at the railway during a technical audit, the use of four indicators is proposed: the number of accidents for which losses are accrued; number of casualties; the number of traffic accidents that occurred during the year, but their consequences are not related to financial losses; number of violations identified by traffic safety auditors. Findings .The author has improved the methodology for assessing the train traffic safety at the railway. At the same time, four indicators were introduced in the methodology to calculate the train traffic safety at the railway. The ranking of these indicators was also performed. Using statistical data on the adopted indicators, a mathematical model was obtained for the integral assessment of train safety, on the basis of which a comparative assessment of traffic safety was performed at Ukrzaliznytsia JSC. As a result, it should be noted that the dynamics of the state of traffic safety in 2015-2018 has a different picture compared to the usual number of traffic accidents in Ukrzaliznytsia JSC. An improved methodology for assessing the state of train traffic safety at the railway allows us to perform adequate calculations and establish the real state of traffic safety during a technical audit. Originality. The author has improved the methodology for assessing the train traffic safety at the railway, which can be applied during the technical audit. Practical value. The improved methodology makes it possible to assess the general level of train traffic safety and establish real threats and risks in the process of technical audit, which, in the future, can be eliminated when developing appropriate measures and actions.
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