股票市场表现和汇率波动对外国直接投资流入的作用:来自巴基斯坦的证据

Rukhsana Rasheed, M. Ishaq, M. Malik
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引用次数: 1

摘要

这项研究的目的是评价宏观经济变量,即股票市场表现和汇率波动对巴基斯坦外国直接投资的作用。所需数据是从世界银行和巴基斯坦国家银行收集的1996年至2020年期间的数据。在数据分析中,进行单位根检验以确定时间序列是否平稳。构建了一个ARDL来实现本研究的结果。研究结果表明,股票市场绩效和贸易开放程度与FDI之间存在显著正相关关系。而实际GDP增长率和汇率对FDI有负向影响。建议在制定贸易政策时应使这些政策能促进出口。此外,确保股票市场稳定表现的政策可能是吸引外国直接投资到巴基斯坦的一个重要因素。然而,从通货膨胀率的变化来看,外国直接投资似乎是无效的。
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Role of Stock Market Performance and Exchange Rate Volatility in the Inflow of Foreign Direct Investment: An Evidence from Pakistan
The purpose of this study was to evaluate the role of macroeconomic variables i.e., stock market performance and exchange rate fluctuations on Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) for Pakistan. The required data was collected for the period of 1996 to 2020 from the World Bank and State Bank of Pakistan. In data analysis, the unit-root tests were performed to decide whether a time-series is stationary or not. An ARDL is constructed to achieve the results of this study. The results of this study provided the evidences that stock market performance and trade openness have positively and significantly linked with FDI. Whereas real GDP growth rate and exchange rates have negative effects on FDI. It is recommended that the trade policies should be devised in such a manner that these policies should promote exports. Furthermore, policies that ensure stable stock market performance could be an important factor for bringing FDI to Pakistan. However, FDI seems to be ineffective from the changes in the rate of inflation.
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