一个混合多标准评估框架,以优先考虑伊朗的发电技术

E. Noorollahi, Dawud Fadai, S. H. Ghodsipour
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引用次数: 1

摘要

本文开发了一个混合多标准评估框架,以确定伊朗的能源状况,并根据可再生和不可再生资源优先考虑不同的发电技术替代方案,重点是可持续发展标准。该模型集成了分析网络过程(ANP)、收益、机会、成本和风险分析(BOCR)以及模糊集理论等多种概念。综合分析战略标准和效益、机会、成本和风险子网下的各种子标准,以评估伊朗最适合的发电技术。计算由Super决策软件完成。结果表明,在效益、机会和成本网络中,水电、风能和天然气联合循环(NGCC)是最受青睐的三种替代方案。但在风险网络中;NGCC、天然气燃气轮机(NGCT)和天然气蒸汽轮机(NGST)的优先级最高。
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A hybrid multi-criteria assessment framework to prioritise power generation technologies in Iran
This paper develops a hybrid multi-criteria assessment framework to determine Iran's energy status and prioritise different alternatives of power generation technologies based on both renewable and non-renewable resources with emphasis on sustainable development criteria. This issue is investigated by a hybrid model named as FANP-BOCR that integrates various concepts including analytic network process (ANP), benefits, opportunities, costs and risks analysis (BOCR) and fuzzy sets theory. Comprehensive analysis of strategic criteria and various sub-criteria under benefits, opportunities, costs and risks sub-network is done to evaluate the most suitable power generation technologies in Iran. The calculation has been done by Super decision software. The results show that, in the benefits, opportunities and costs networks, the most preferred three alternatives are hydroelectric, wind and natural gas combined cycle (NGCC). But in the risk network; NGCC, natural gas combustion turbine (NGCT) and natural gas steam turbine (NGST) have the highest priority.
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