大衰退时期的经济调整:管理素质的作用

G. Cette, Jimmy Lopez, J. Mairesse, G. Nicoletti
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引用次数: 6

摘要

本研究从实证角度考察了2008年经济危机后大衰退期间管理实践如何影响宏观经济调整。我们首先为10个经合组织国家的18个行业构建了2007-2015年期间的国家*行业平衡面板数据,并通过两个指标加以补充:基于Bloom等人(2012)在企业层面的管理实践分类得分的国家一级管理质量指标;从行业层面来看,这也是2008年经济危机引发的冲击的一个指标。然后,我们依靠Jorda(2005)首创的本地预测方法来估计国家管理质量指标和行业经济冲击的直接影响以及它们对大衰退期间五个感兴趣的变量的联合影响:增值、就业、劳动生产率、人均工资和劳动份额。我们发现,在管理质量较高的国家,生产和就业在大衰退期间更具弹性,生产损失和就业损失较小,对生产率没有影响,工资温和,劳动收入占比略有增加。此外,这种韧性似乎随着行业冲击的规模而增强。
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Economic Adjustment during the Great Recession: The Role of Managerial Quality
This study investigates empirically how managerial practices have affected macroeconomic adjustment during the Great Recession after the 2008 economic crisis. We start by constructing a country*industry balanced panel data over the 2007-2015 period for eighteen industries in ten OECD countries, and complementing it by two indicators: an indicator of management quality at the country level based on the managerial practices categorical scores at firm level from Bloom et al. (2012); and an indicator at the industry level for the shocks stemming from the 2008 economic crisis. We then rely on the local projection method pioneered by Jorda (2005) to estimate the direct impacts of country management quality indicators and industry economic shocks as well as their joint impacts, on five variables of interest: value-added, employment, labor productivity, wage per employee and labor share during the Great Recession. We find that, in countries where management quality is higher, production and employment are more resilient during the Great Recession, with less production losses and employment damages, no effects on productivity, wage moderation and a slight increase in the labor shares. It appears, moreover, that this resilience is increasing with the size of industry shocks.
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