用两种构造效用函数的方法对生死决策的微抵押价值进行敏感性分析

Ahmed A. Alzanki, A. Abbas
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摘要

本文对处理涉及健康状态和消费的风险决策所需的效用函数评估的两种方法的引出参数的影响进行了各种敏感性分析。这两种方法包括:a)在确定性价值函数上使用效用函数,b)在每个属性的效用函数上使用效用联结函数。根据派生的Micromort值(以美元计算风险决策交易的一种方法)以及它对评估每种方法所需的每个参数的敏感性,对这两种方法进行了探索和比较。结果表明:Micromort值随消费水平增大,随年龄增大而减小;随着决策者增加健康和财富之间的权衡,Micromort的价值趋于增加。此外,由于对价值的高度风险厌恶,决策者也具有更高的Micromort价值。
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A Sensitivity Analysis for the Derived Micromort Value of Life and Death Decisions Using Two Methods for Constructing Utility Functions
This paper provides various sensitivity analyses for the effects of the elicitation parameters of two methods for the utility function assessments needed to deal with risky decisions involving health state and consumption. The two methods include: a) Using a utility function over a deterministic value function, and b) Using a utility copula function over utility functions for each attribute. The two methods are explored and compared in terms of the derived Micromort value (a way to value a risky decision deal in dollars) and how it is sensitive to each parameter needed for the assessments of each method. The results show that the Micromort value increases with the consumption level and decreases with age. As the decision-maker increases the tradeoff between health and wealth, the Micromort value tends to increase. In addition, becoming highly risk averse over value, the decision-maker also has a higher Micromort value.
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