渔业政策和管理的科学基础

J. Rice
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引用次数: 0

摘要

渔业政策和管理的科学基础已有一个多世纪的历史。到20世纪20年代,人们已经开始关注至少在当地甚至在更大范围内失败的渔业,并希望避免这种失败。从一开始,科学基础就是强烈的经验主义,充其量也就是弱理论。强调实证方法并不是因为渔业科学必然是反理论的。相反,可能相关的理论领域,如生态学和海洋学,本身还处于起步阶段。已确立的理论原则很少,它们与实际问题的相关性在很大程度上没有得到探索。然而,渔业中不可持续做法的一些实际问题已经十分紧迫,当时的科学家正在寻求利用现有资料解决实际问题的方法。为了说明这一点,最终导致最大可持续产量(msy)等概念的早期工作来自经验观察,即当渔业减少了未开发的鱼类种群的丰度时,在许多情况下,体细胞生长速度增加了,至少渔业的吸收没有减少,在某些情况下,例如许多太平洋鲑鱼,实际上增加了。到20世纪30年代,这些经验观察开始被系统化,形成了最优产量和剩余生产等概念。当时的科学家确实在应用环境中探索了像Verhulst方程这样的理论概念,但随着他们努力寻找越来越强大的数学表达式,以捕捉从现有的经验数据中出现的模式,这些数据显示了鱼类种群是如何随着开发而变化的。从一开始,进步就体现在数学方程中,以表示现有信息中的模式,从而促进了将具体案例的知识进步应用于更广泛的类似问题的能力。这并不意味着渔业科学的进步与不断发展的生态、海洋学和经济理论领域不相容。随着生态理论中承载能力和密度依赖等概念的阐述,它们增强了解释为什么基于经验的工具
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Scientific Basis for Fisheries Policy and Management
The science foundations of fisheries policy and management have a history of over a century. By the 1920s there was already concern about fisheries that had failed at least on local and sometimes larger scales, and a desire to avoid such failures. From the outset the science foundations were strongly empirical and at best weakly theoretical. This emphasis on empirical approaches was not because fisheries science was necessarily anti-theoretical. Rather, potentially relevant theoretical areas, such as ecology and oceanography, were themselves in their infancy. Established theoretical principles were few, and their relevance to applied problems was largely unexplored. Nevertheless some of the applied problems of unsustainable practices in fisheries were already urgent, and the scientists of the day were seeking ways to use available information to address practical problems. To illustrate, the early work that eventually led to concepts such as maximum sustainable yield (msy) came from empirical observations that as unexploited fish populations were reduced in abundance by a fishery, in many cases somatic growth rates increased, and recruitment to the fisheries at least did not decrease, and in some cases, such as many Pacific salmon, actually increased. These empirical observations began to be systematized into concepts like optimal yield and surplus production by the 1930s. Scientists of the day did explore theoretical concepts like the Verhulst equation in applied contexts, but as efforts to find increasingly powerful mathematical expressions to capture patterns emerging from the empirical data available on how fish populations changed with exploitation. From the beginning, progress was captured in mathematical equations to represent patterns in the information available, facilitating the ability to apply case-specific advances in knowledge to much wider ranges of similar problems. This did not mean the advances in fisheries science were incompatible with evolving fields of ecological, oceanographic, and economic theory. As concepts like carrying capacity and density dependence were elaborated in ecological theory, they enhanced the ability to explain why the empirically-based tools
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