俄罗斯环境负荷分析与预测

G. Mkrtchyan, T. Tagaeva, Yu. O. Tsvelodub
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引用次数: 2

摘要

本文分析了俄罗斯联邦环境污染的现代问题:大气中污染物浓度的增长,水质的下降,年生产和消费的增长,废物的产生等。利用生态区块动态产业间模型,对2016-2020年的水资源和大气资源负荷进行了预测,并对废弃物产出量趋势进行了预测。在此基础上,得出了环境负荷将持续增长的结论,为防止环境负荷的增长,需要制定国家生态政策。
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Analysis and forecast of environmental load in Russia
The article presents an analysis of modern issues of environmental pollution in the Russian Federation: growth of the pollutants concentration in the atmosphere, decrease in the quality of water growth in the annual production and consumption waste generation etc. The authors present the load forecast for water and atmospheric resources as well as projected trend of waste production for a period of 2016–2020, obtained using dynamic interindustry model with ecological block Based on the forecast it is concluded that the growth of the environmental load will remain, and in order to prevent it the development of state ecological policies is required.
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